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Healthy Skepticism Library item: 9595

Warning: This library includes all items relevant to health product marketing that we are aware of regardless of quality. Often we do not agree with all or part of the contents.

 

Publication type: Journal Article

Denysyk OS.
Five-year prediction made for OTC products
Drug Topics 1987 Aug 17; 131:64-65


Abstract:

A brief performance analysis of over-the-counter (OTC) products for 1986 and a 5 yr prediction of the future performance of those products are presented. Fiber, ibuprofen, aspirin and prescription-to-OTC switches fueled growth in the nonprescription drug industry in 1986. U.S. manufacturers’ sales of OTCs reached $9.3 billion that year, an increase of more than 8% compared to 1985. Fish oil products and ovulation test kits emerged as potential growth segments. Fiber diet-aid sales will decrease, but fiber as a whole will increase in popularity in the OTC market over the next 5 yr. Ibuprofen will continue to increase its market share to a 30% of the internal analgesics market by 1991. Aspirin is expected to increase 3-4% in units annually over the next 5 yr. The fish oil market is expected to be close to $200 million by 1991.

 

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Far too large a section of the treatment of disease is to-day controlled by the big manufacturing pharmacists, who have enslaved us in a plausible pseudo-science...
The blind faith which some men have in medicines illustrates too often the greatest of all human capacities - the capacity for self deception...
Some one will say, Is this all your science has to tell us? Is this the outcome of decades of good clinical work, of patient study of the disease, of anxious trial in such good faith of so many drugs? Give us back the childlike trust of the fathers in antimony and in the lancet rather than this cold nihilism. Not at all! Let us accept the truth, however unpleasant it may be, and with the death rate staring us in the face, let us not be deceived with vain fancies...
we need a stern, iconoclastic spirit which leads, not to nihilism, but to an active skepticism - not the passive skepticism, born of despair, but the active skepticism born of a knowledge that recognizes its limitations and knows full well that only in this attitude of mind can true progress be made.
- William Osler 1909