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Healthy Skepticism Library item: 20210

Warning: This library includes all items relevant to health product marketing that we are aware of regardless of quality. Often we do not agree with all or part of the contents.

 

Publication type: Journal Article

Berndt ER, Bhattacharjya A, Mishol DN, Arcelus A, Lasky T.
An analysis of the diffusion of new antidepressants: variety, quality, and marketing efforts.
J Ment Health Policy Econ 2002; 5:(1):3-19
http://www.icmpe.net/fulltext.php?volume=5&page=3&year=2002&num=1&name=Berndt%20ER


Abstract:

BACKGROUND:

We are not aware of any published research that quantifies and compares the importance of effectiveness and side effects for pharmaceutical sales, and that simultaneously incorporates the impacts of marketing efforts on the diffusion of new pharmaceutical agents in the U.S. The overall level and market share success of the various selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors ( SSRIs ) relative to a representative older generation tricyclic (such as amitriptyline) provides a useful focus for studying such issues.
AIMS OF STUDY:

To model jointly the marketing and sales relationships of the SSRIs in the U.S., to quantify the extent to which marketing efforts are responsive to the availability of new scientific information accompanying changes in quality and increases in product variety, and in turn to assess how the new FDA indication approvals and the enhanced marketing initiatives involving product quality and variety affect sales of the SSRI and other novel antidepressants.
METHODS:

Quarterly US sales, price, quantity and marketing data 1988Q1-1997Q4 are taken from IMS Health for the eight new antidepressants introduced into the US during this time period. Measures of physician-perceived quality attributes of the antidepressants are drawn from Market Measures, Inc., a medical survey research firm. These data are used to construct measures of product quality (effectiveness and side effect profile), and attribute variety across all antidepressants. Multivariate regression methods are used in estimating parameters of a marketing efforts model, a sales demand model encompassing the aggregate of the newer antidepressants, and a product share model. Simulation methods are employed to quantify elasticities.
RESULTS:

Since 1988, and relative to amitriptyline, there has been only a rather modest increase in the perceived average effectiveness of the SSRIs and related products, but the side effect profiles have improved substantially. Variety measures for effectiveness show greater increases over time than do those for side effects. Marketing efforts respond to science-based events, such as new FDA indication approvals, and to effectiveness and side-effect quality improvements. Total antidepressant sales are positively and significantly related to price reductions, increased marketing efforts, and the level and variety of side effect profiles involving antidepressants. The level and variety of effectiveness does not significantly affect total antidepressant sales. Order of entry effects are important in affecting product market shares, while marketing efforts and relative quality attributes (particularly a more favorable side effect profile) have positive and significant impacts on relative market shares.
IMPLICATIONS FOR HEALTH CARE PROVISION AND USE:

Since patient response to SSRIs and related products is idiosyncratic, greater product variety facilitates better matching of antidepressant with patient. Much of the growth of the SSRIs and related antidepressants since 1988 can be attributed to increased product attribute variety, to improved changes in side effect quality relative to that of the tricyclics, and to the marketing of those improvements.
IMPLICATIONS FOR HEALTH POLICIES:

Marketing efforts play an important role in diffusing product information. Marketing efforts increase considerably following FDA approval for indications other than depression, and also increase with the average effectiveness and the average side effect rating of the products.
IMPLICATIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH:

Whether the relatively minor role that perceived effectiveness has in affecting sales relative to perceived side effect profile is unique to antidepressants, or generalizes to other therapeutic classes, merits further examination.

Keywords:
Adverse Drug Reaction Reporting Systems/trends Amitriptyline/adverse effects Amitriptyline/therapeutic use Antidepressive Agents, Second-Generation/adverse effects Antidepressive Agents, Second-Generation/economics Antidepressive Agents, Second-Generation/therapeutic use* Antidepressive Agents, Tricyclic/adverse effects Antidepressive Agents, Tricyclic/economics Antidepressive Agents, Tricyclic/therapeutic use* Depressive Disorder/drug therapy* Diffusion of Innovation* Drug Approval/statistics & numerical data Drug Costs/trends Drug Utilization/trends Drugs, Investigational/adverse effects Drugs, Investigational/economics Drugs, Investigational/therapeutic use* Forecasting Humans Marketing/trends* Quality Control Serotonin Uptake Inhibitors/adverse effects Serotonin Uptake Inhibitors/economics Serotonin Uptake Inhibitors/therapeutic use* Treatment Outcome United States United States Food and Drug Administration

 

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Far too large a section of the treatment of disease is to-day controlled by the big manufacturing pharmacists, who have enslaved us in a plausible pseudo-science...
The blind faith which some men have in medicines illustrates too often the greatest of all human capacities - the capacity for self deception...
Some one will say, Is this all your science has to tell us? Is this the outcome of decades of good clinical work, of patient study of the disease, of anxious trial in such good faith of so many drugs? Give us back the childlike trust of the fathers in antimony and in the lancet rather than this cold nihilism. Not at all! Let us accept the truth, however unpleasant it may be, and with the death rate staring us in the face, let us not be deceived with vain fancies...
we need a stern, iconoclastic spirit which leads, not to nihilism, but to an active skepticism - not the passive skepticism, born of despair, but the active skepticism born of a knowledge that recognizes its limitations and knows full well that only in this attitude of mind can true progress be made.
- William Osler 1909