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Healthy Skepticism Library item: 17902

Warning: This library includes all items relevant to health product marketing that we are aware of regardless of quality. Often we do not agree with all or part of the contents.

 

Publication type: Journal Article

Mayor S
Researchers claim clinical trials are reported with misleading statistics
BMJ 2002 Jun 8; 324:(7350):1353
http://www.bmj.com/cgi/content/extract/324/7350/1353/a


Abstract:

US researchers have claimed that most randomised trials of new treatments published in leading medical journals are reported in a potentially misleading way, with statistics designed to make the results more positive than if other statistical tests were used.

Researchers from the University of California at Davis, near Sacramento, reviewed 359 randomised clinical trials of new treatments published between 1989 and 1998 in five major medical journals: the Annals of Internal Medicine, BMJ, JAMA, Lancet, and New England Journal of Medicine.

They found that most of the trials report results based on relative risk reduction—-the percentage difference in end points between the active treatment and the placebo or comparison treatment. The study showed that only 18 of the papers reviewed considered absolute risk reduction—-the actual difference between the treatment and placebo results. Only eight of the 359 trials reported the number needed to treat—-the number of patients needed . . .

 

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Far too large a section of the treatment of disease is to-day controlled by the big manufacturing pharmacists, who have enslaved us in a plausible pseudo-science...
The blind faith which some men have in medicines illustrates too often the greatest of all human capacities - the capacity for self deception...
Some one will say, Is this all your science has to tell us? Is this the outcome of decades of good clinical work, of patient study of the disease, of anxious trial in such good faith of so many drugs? Give us back the childlike trust of the fathers in antimony and in the lancet rather than this cold nihilism. Not at all! Let us accept the truth, however unpleasant it may be, and with the death rate staring us in the face, let us not be deceived with vain fancies...
we need a stern, iconoclastic spirit which leads, not to nihilism, but to an active skepticism - not the passive skepticism, born of despair, but the active skepticism born of a knowledge that recognizes its limitations and knows full well that only in this attitude of mind can true progress be made.
- William Osler 1909